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AC Milan W vs Como W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara, Milan
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Match Events

4' Event
Fornes S.
Assist: Grimshaw C.
33'
Sorelli N.
56'
Sub
Chidiac A. In: Zamboni M.
Out: Chidiac A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AC Milan W
20%
Draws
40%
Como W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Como W haven't matched AC Milan W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AC Milan W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • AC Milan W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Como W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 20%
Como W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan W Como W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan W vs Como W
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Como W
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie A Women
Como W vs AC Milan W
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Como W
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Serie A Women
Como W vs AC Milan W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Milan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fornes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Como W Compare

Top Goalscorer Borbye L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan W 36 / 100
Como W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan W Como W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Como W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: AC Milan W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan W VS Como W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan W

(Home)
04 Oct
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Juventus W
26 Sept
Como 1907 W
4 : 1
AC Milan W
06 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
29 Aug
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
Page 1 of 6

Como W

(Away)
04 Oct
Como W
0 : 2
Inter W
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
06 Sept
Como W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
29 Aug
Juventus W
1 : 0
Como W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)