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AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Grimshaw C. In: Park Soo-Jeong
Out: Grimshaw C.
48' Event
Park Soo-Jeong
Assist: Cernoia V.
55' Event
Ijeh E.
Assist: Cernoia V.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan W host Sassuolo W in the Serie A Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sassuolo W have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while AC Milan W have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor AC Milan W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.38 - 0.76) back AC Milan W to edge this. AC Milan W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AC Milan W
11%
Draws
9%
Sassuolo W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AC Milan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Milan W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sassuolo W.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for AC Milan W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 20%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan W Sassuolo W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs AC Milan W
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs AC Milan W
2:3
Nov 3, 2024 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Sassuolo W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Milan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Soo-Jeong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ijeh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clelland L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabatino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan W 76 / 100
Sassuolo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan W Sassuolo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sassuolo W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AC Milan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sassuolo W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan W VS Sassuolo W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Roma W22174144:1955
2Inter W22135449:2644
3Juventus W22116533:1939
4Fiorentina W22106633:3036
5Lazio W22103931:3033
6AC Milan W2295831:2632
7Napoli W2288630:2532
8Como W2286824:2230
9Sassuolo W22461217:3418
10Ternana W22451319:4017
11Parma W222101016:3116
12Genoa W22241618:4310