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AC Milan W vs Ternana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara, Milan
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Milan W host Ternana W in the Serie A Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ternana W have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while AC Milan W have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, AC Milan W have won 3 to Ternana W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward AC Milan W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AC Milan W
15%
Draws
39%
Ternana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Milan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ternana W haven't matched AC Milan W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AC Milan W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 20%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan W Ternana W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs AC Milan W
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Ternana W
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan W vs Ternana W
2:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Women
Ternana W vs AC Milan W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan W 32 / 100
Ternana W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan W Ternana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

AC Milan W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

AC Milan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan W VS Ternana W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan W

(Home)
04 Oct
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Juventus W
26 Sept
Como 1907 W
4 : 1
AC Milan W
06 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
29 Aug
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
Page 1 of 6

Ternana W

(Away)
03 Oct
Parma W
1 : 2
Ternana W
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
5 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Napoli W 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)