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AC Oulu vs HJK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga OTC Stadion, Oulu
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
HJK Logo

HJK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AC Oulu host HJK in the Veikkausliiga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. HJK have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while AC Oulu have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, AC Oulu have won 2 to HJK's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.06, favoring HJK. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AC Oulu
30%
Draws
47%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK have won more games recently than AC Oulu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
HJK Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu HJK
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs HJK
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs HJK
2:1
Aug 21, 2025 Suomen Cup
HJK vs AC Oulu
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 36 / 100
HJK 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

HJK let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

AC Oulu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS HJK
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

HJK

(Away)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 25 13 9 3 41:24 48
2 Inter Turku 25 13 9 3 32:18 48
3 HJK 25 12 6 7 39:29 42
4 Gnistan 25 11 8 6 40:32 41
5 VPS 25 10 6 9 30:25 36
6 AC Oulu 25 10 4 11 26:29 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)