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Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Raatin stadion, Oulu
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

2 - 0
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Karjalainen R.
20'
Pirinen J.
52'
Antwi C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between AC Oulu and KuPS finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AC Oulu
35%
Draws
30%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Oulu come out ahead of KuPS on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 18%
KuPS Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu KuPS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs KuPS
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs AC Oulu
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs KuPS
5:0
Dec 5, 2025 Club Friendly
KuPS vs AC Oulu
1:2
Jul 4, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs KuPS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Karjalainen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghezali L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

KuPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 32 / 100
KuPS 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: KuPS conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

AC Oulu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS KuPS
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
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KuPS

(Away)
20 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1
KuPS
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
13 Aug
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
KuPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
TPS
06 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
Univ. Craiova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 VPS 21 9 6 6 29:21 33
5 AC Oulu 21 10 3 8 25:25 33
6 Gnistan 20 9 5 6 32:26 32
7 Lahti 21 8 5 8 25:19 29
8 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
9 Ilves 21 7 4 10 33:35 25
10 SJK 21 4 6 11 25:33 18
11 Jaro 21 3 6 12 18:42 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)