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AC Oulu vs PoPa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2011
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

4 - 0
FT
PoPa Logo

PoPa

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Nurmela M.
45' Event
Kauppila J.
46'
Sub
Viljanen P. In: Pihlainen A.
Out: Viljanen P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen 2011 game between AC Oulu and PoPa finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AC Oulu
15%
Draws
51%
PoPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PoPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Oulu come out ahead of PoPa on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on AC Oulu taking it.
  • Regular Ykkonen 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AC Oulu have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
PoPa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu PoPa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.26 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2011 Ykkosliiga
AC Oulu vs PoPa
4:0
May 15, 2011 Ykkosliiga
PoPa vs AC Oulu
0:2
Sep 12, 2009 Ykkosliiga
PoPa vs AC Oulu
2:5
May 24, 2009 Ykkosliiga
AC Oulu vs PoPa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurmela M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauppila J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

PoPa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 85 / 100
PoPa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu PoPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Oulu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

AC Oulu's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

PoPa let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: PoPa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 7

PoPa

(Away)
22 Oct
FC KooTeePee
3 : 0
PoPa
16 Oct
PoPa
1 : 0
Espoo
01 Oct
OPS
7 : 0
PoPa
21 Sept
PoPa
1 : 5
Viikingit
17 Sept
PoPa
4 : 2
PS Kemi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lahti 24 16 4 4 50:18 52
2 OPS 24 15 4 5 46:26 49
3 AC Oulu 24 14 6 4 51:22 48
4 PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 24 13 5 6 38:19 44
5 Viikingit 24 13 4 7 50:28 43
6 FC KooTeePee 24 13 2 9 37:26 41
7 Hameenlinna 24 9 6 9 30:34 33
8 Jippo 24 6 12 6 24:20 30
9 HIFK 24 8 5 11 26:30 29
10 PS Kemi 24 5 4 15 25:43 19
11 PoPa 24 6 1 17 23:58 19
12 KPV Kokkola 24 4 4 16 19:58 16
13 Espoo 24 3 5 16 19:56 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2012 (Main)