Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Oulu vs PS Kemi

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2019 Raatin stadion, Oulu
Sat, Mar 2, 2019
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Suomen Cup 2019. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: AC Oulu at 1.18 goals for, 1.25 against; PS Kemi at 0.77 for, 1.62 against. Past meetings favor AC Oulu slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.00) point toward AC Oulu. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AC Oulu
15%
Draws
51%
PS Kemi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PS Kemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu have won more games recently than PS Kemi.
  • PS Kemi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • AC Oulu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 20%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Oulu PS Kemi
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Suomen Cup
AC Oulu vs PS Kemi
0:0
Mar 24, 2018 Club Friendly
AC Oulu vs PS Kemi
1:1
Mar 10, 2018 Suomen Cup
PS Kemi vs AC Oulu
1:2
Feb 11, 2017 Suomen Cup
PS Kemi vs AC Oulu
2:1
Oct 3, 2015 Ykkosliiga
PS Kemi vs AC Oulu
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Oulu 28 / 100
PS Kemi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Oulu PS Kemi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Kemi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PS Kemi has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Attacking prowess: AC Oulu scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

PS Kemi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Oulu VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Oulu

(Home)
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 6

PS Kemi

(Away)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
2 Inter Turku 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
3 Lahti 5 3 0 2 6:7 9
4 Mariehamn 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
5 HJK 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
6 HIFK 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilves 5 4 1 0 12:4 13
2 VPS 5 3 0 2 5:6 9
3 KPV Kokkola 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 RoPS Rovaniemi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
5 SJK 5 0 2 3 7:10 2
6 KuPS 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Oulu 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
2 Haka 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 MuSa 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 MyPa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
5 Jaro 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
6 PS Kemi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TPV 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
2 KTP 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 TPS 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
4 AC Kajaani 4 2 0 2 5:12 6
5 Ekenas IF 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Suomen Cup 2019 (Play Offs)