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San Luis vs Antofagasta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández, Quillota
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Juarez F.
23' Event
Parada S.
46'
Sub
Ibacache A. In: Abuhadba Z.
Out: Ibacache A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between San Luis and Antofagasta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Luis
15%
Draws
34%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antofagasta come out ahead of San Luis on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
San Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luis Antofagasta
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Antofagasta
2:1
May 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Luis
3:1
Jul 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Luis
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Antofagasta
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs San Luis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Parada S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luis 31 / 100
Antofagasta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luis Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: San Luis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Antofagasta let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

San Luis VS Antofagasta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luis

(Home)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

Antofagasta

(Away)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)