Sport Picks
A.C. Savoia vs Casertana
Italy
Serie C - Group C Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano 
Match Events
3'
3'
Iob S.
Assist: Yeboah P.
14'
14'
Castelli D.
Assist: Pezzella S.
19'
19'
Fabriani C.
AI Match Summary
Casertana in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casertana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casertana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- A.C. Savoia average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Casertana's 1.48.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Casertana here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 14%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A.C. Savoia | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
A.C. Savoia vs Casertana
1:2
Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Casertana vs A.C. Savoia
1:2
May 3, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs A.C. Savoia
4:1
Dec 20, 2014 Serie C - Group C
A.C. Savoia vs Casertana
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C. Savoia Compare
Top Goalscorer Iob S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Castelli D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mehic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C. Savoia 35 / 100
Casertana 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C. Savoia Casertana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casertana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A.C. Savoia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Casertana let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
A.C. Savoia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
A.C. Savoia VS Casertana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C. Savoia
(Home) 26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2 A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4 Scafatese
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0 Sancataldese
Page 1 of 3
Casertana
(Away) 27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2 Scafatese
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0 Casertana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Bari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sorrento | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Picerno | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Casertana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Monopoli | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Catania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Inter U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Casarano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Foggia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Cavese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Barletta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Altamura | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 17 | A.C. Savoia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
