Sport Picks
A.C. Savoia vs Gelbison Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
54'
54'
Liurni L.
70'
70'
Calvino Valentino F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to A.C. Savoia lately — more wins on the board than Gelbison.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 68%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A.C. Savoia | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs Gelbison
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs A.C. Savoia
2:6
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs A.C. Savoia
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
A.C. Savoia vs Gelbison
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs A.C. Savoia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A.C. Savoia Compare
Top Goalscorer Calvino Valentino F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Gelbison Compare
Top Goalscorer Liurni L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A.C. Savoia 41 / 100
Gelbison 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A.C. Savoia Gelbison
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick A.C. Savoia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A.C. Savoia found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Gelbison has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
A.C. Savoia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
A.C. Savoia VS Gelbison
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
A.C. Savoia
(Home) 26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2 A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 4 Scafatese
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0 Sancataldese
Page 1 of 3
Gelbison
(Away) 27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0 Gelbison
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0 Gelbison
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
