Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A.C. Savoia vs Igea Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Munoz D.
61' Event
Forte F.
78' Event
Favetta C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between A.C. Savoia and Igea Virtus finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C. Savoia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
A.C. Savoia
35%
Draws
41%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C. Savoia come out ahead of Igea Virtus on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 12%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C. Savoia Igea Virtus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.7 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
A.C. Savoia vs Igea Virtus
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs A.C. Savoia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forte F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Igea Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C. Savoia 35 / 100
Igea Virtus 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C. Savoia Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C. Savoia's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Igea Virtus let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

A.C. Savoia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

A.C. Savoia VS Igea Virtus
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C. Savoia

(Home)
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
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Igea Virtus

(Away)
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)