Sport Picks
Acacia Ridge vs St. George Willawong
Australia
Brisbane Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Acacia Ridge play St. George Willawong in the Brisbane Premier League. Acacia Ridge are favorites here. Recently, Acacia Ridge averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. St. George Willawong averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.35 conceded. In past meetings, Acacia Ridge won 2, St. George Willawong won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 11, 2021 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Acacia Ridge and 0.80 for St. George Willawong. This points to a Acacia Ridge double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Acacia Ridge picked up more points recently compared to St. George Willawong.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.80 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Acacia Ridge | St. George Willawong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 2.35 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Acacia Ridge Compare
St. George Willawong Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Acacia Ridge scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
St. George Willawong let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Acacia Ridge went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
St. George Willawong lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albany Creek | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 102:18 | 60 |
| 2 | Bayside United | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 48:25 | 44 |
| 3 | The Lakes FC | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 60:45 | 42 |
| 4 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 56:39 | 38 |
| 5 | Gravatt | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 38:41 | 33 |
| 6 | Acacia Ridge | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 7 | Toowong City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 47:46 | 32 |
| 8 | Univ. of Queensland | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 27:46 | 24 |
| 9 | Centenary Stormers | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:49 | 23 |
| 10 | The Gap | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19:44 | 17 |
| 11 | Western Spirit FC | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 36:70 | 16 |
| 12 | Brisbane Knights | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 29:64 | 14 |