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Academia del Balompie vs Aurora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio), El Alto
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Figueroa L.
46'
Sub
Rangel M. In: Mojica H.
Out: Rangel M.
46'
Sub
Pacheco A. In: Velazco M.
Out: Pacheco A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Academia del Balompie
20%
Draws
63%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora lately — more wins on the board than Academia del Balompie.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Aurora arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aurora, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aurora have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 10%
Aurora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia del Balompie Aurora
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 12
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
2:0
Sep 25, 2026 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Aurora
0:1
Jul 24, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
3:2
Dec 15, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
3:2
Jul 25, 2025 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Aurora
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia del Balompie 18 / 100
Aurora 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia del Balompie Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Academia del Balompie scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Aurora has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Academia del Balompie stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academia del Balompie VS Aurora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia del Balompie

(Home)
10 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Academia del Balompie
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

Aurora

(Away)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)