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Academia del Balompie vs Guabira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio), El Alto
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
La Fuente Z. In: Perozo R.
Out: La Fuente Z.
46'
Sub
Moreno A. In: Gil S.
Out: Moreno A.
46'
Sub
Lujan P. In: Flores J.
Out: Lujan P.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Academia del Balompie and Guabira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Academia del Balompie
15%
Draws
64%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guabira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guabira here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 12%
Guabira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia del Balompie Guabira
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division Profesional
Academia del Balompie vs Guabira
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Academia del Balompie
5:1
May 16, 2025 Division Profesional
Academia del Balompie vs Guabira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia del Balompie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Peredo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia del Balompie 35 / 100
Guabira 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia del Balompie Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guabira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Academia del Balompie scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Academia del Balompie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academia del Balompie VS Guabira
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Academia del Balompie

(Home)
10 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Academia del Balompie
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

Guabira

(Away)
08 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
The Strongest
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 21 7 3 11 35:51 24
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21 6 3 12 21:40 21
13 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 21 5 3 13 27:42 18
15 Tomayapo 21 4 5 12 15:39 17
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)