Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Cienciano

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Gonzalez G.
Assist: Castillo J.
45'
Bamba G.
49' Event
Flores Barrios R. D.
Assist: Gonzalez G.

AI Match Summary

Academia Puerto Cabello in this Copa Sudamericana matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academia Puerto Cabello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Academia Puerto Cabello
44%
Draws
20%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cienciano have won more games recently than Academia Puerto Cabello.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 17%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academia Puerto Cabello Cienciano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Cienciano
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Academia Puerto Cabello
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores Barrios R. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cienciano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academia Puerto Cabello 36 / 100
Cienciano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academia Puerto Cabello Cienciano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia Puerto Cabello scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cienciano conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Academia Puerto Cabello remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academia Puerto Cabello VS Cienciano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171