Sport Picks
Academica do Mindelo vs Morabeza
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2023 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Academica do Mindelo and Morabeza finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Academica do Mindelo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Academica do Mindelo a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 20%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Academica do Mindelo | Morabeza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Morabeza
2:2
Apr 21, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Academica do Mindelo
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Academica do Mindelo 76 / 100
Morabeza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Academica do Mindelo Morabeza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Academica do Mindelo found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (24 games).
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Morabeza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Academica do Mindelo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Academica do Mindelo VS Morabeza
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Academica do Mindelo
(Home) 08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2 Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6 Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2 Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2 Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4 Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2 Palmeira
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2 Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2 Morabeza
14 May
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 0 GD Varandinha
30 Apr
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 1 Figueirense
Page 1 of 3
Morabeza
(Away) 15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2 Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0 Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
Page 1 of 6
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0 Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2 Morabeza
21 May
Figueirense
0 : 0 Morabeza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mindelense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6:0 | 14 |
| 2 | Travadores | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Santo Crucifixo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Vulcanico Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Belo Horizonte | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica do Mindelo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Figueirense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
