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Academica do Mindelo vs Palmeira

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Sat, Jul 8, 2023
1 - 2
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Palmeira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Academica do Mindelo
20%
Draws
48%
Palmeira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Palmeira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Academica do Mindelo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Palmeira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeira, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica do Mindelo Palmeira
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Palmeira
1:2
Jul 9, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Palmeira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica do Mindelo 36 / 100
Palmeira 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica do Mindelo Palmeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica do Mindelo scored in 96% of their last 24 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Academica do Mindelo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Palmeira conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmeira
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica do Mindelo

(Home)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
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Palmeira

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Palmeira
3 : 1
SC Africa Show
20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0
Palmeira
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1
Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3
Palmeira
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Academica do Mindelo 8
Vulcanico Clube 5
Palmeira 4
Mindelense 3
Final
Academica do Mindelo 1
Palmeira 2