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Academica Recea vs Unirea Alba-Iulia

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Recea play Unirea Alba-Iulia in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2019/2020. Unirea Alba-Iulia are favorites here. Recently, Academica Recea averaged 2 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Unirea Alba-Iulia averaged 2.83 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, Academica Recea won 2, Unirea Alba-Iulia won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 5, 2019 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Academica Recea and 1.00 for Unirea Alba-Iulia. This points to a Unirea Alba-Iulia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Academica Recea
25%
Draws
60%
Unirea Alba-Iulia
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Unirea Alba-Iulia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica Recea picked up more points recently compared to Unirea Alba-Iulia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Academica Recea Clean Sheet 23%
Unirea Alba-Iulia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Recea Unirea Alba-Iulia
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 14 26
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Academica Recea vs Unirea Alba-Iulia
2:2
Mar 9, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Unirea Alba-Iulia vs Academica Recea
0:1
Sep 2, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Academica Recea vs Unirea Alba-Iulia
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Recea 18 / 100
Unirea Alba-Iulia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Recea Unirea Alba-Iulia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unirea Alba-Iulia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Unirea Alba-Iulia & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica Recea attacking → ← attacking Unirea Alba-Iulia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Recea scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Unirea Alba-Iulia let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Academica Recea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Unirea Alba-Iulia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 83
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academica Recea16105141:1735
2Baia Mare16103325:833
3Selimbar1677226:1928
4Metalurgistul Cugir1676322:1727
5Luceafarul Oradea1682637:2926
6Baile Felix1681731:3025
7Gloria Bistrita1674517:1925
8Ariesul Turda1657419:2222
9Avantul Reghin1657427:2122
10Unirea Dej1663719:2421
11Sanatatea Cluj1655622:2120
12Unirea Alba-Iulia1644821:2216
13CFR Cluj II1643921:3515
14Industria Galda16321119:3511
15Odorheiu16241011:2810
16SCM Zalau1643921:329