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Academica U19 vs Casa Pia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Academica U19 and Casa Pia U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casa Pia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Academica U19
35%
Draws
20%
Casa Pia U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Academica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Academica U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Academica U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica U19 Casa Pia U19
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Academica U19 vs Casa Pia U19
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Academica U19
5:1
Jan 21, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Academica U19 vs Casa Pia U19
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Academica U19
1:6
Jan 23, 2016 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Academica U19
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica U19 67 / 100
Casa Pia U19 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica U19 Casa Pia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Academica U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Academica U19 scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Casa Pia U19 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casa Pia U19
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica U19

(Home)
25 May
Academica U19
3 : 1
Alverca U19
18 May
Torreense U19
0 : 0
Academica U19
11 May
Academica U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
04 May
Belenenses U19
1 : 1
Academica U19
28 Apr
Academica U19
1 : 0
SC Lusitania U19
Page 1 of 8

Casa Pia U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3
Torreense U19
05 Sept
Oriental U19
1 : 0
Casa Pia U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
15 Aug
Casa Pia U19
2 : 0
Santa Clara U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)