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Academica vs Guelson

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Academica Logo

Academica

2 - 0
FT
Guelson Logo

Guelson

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2025/2026 game between Academica and Guelson finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Academica
15%
Draws
85%
Guelson
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guelson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica come out ahead of Guelson on wins alone.
  • Academica are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Girabola 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Academica Clean Sheet 20%
Guelson Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Guelson
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.74 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Girabola
Academica vs Guelson
2:0
Dec 5, 2025 Girabola
Guelson vs Academica
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 36 / 100
Guelson 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Guelson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guelson let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Guelson registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Academica scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academica VS Guelson
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
20 Sept
Desportivo Huila
1 : 0
Academica
10 Sept
Interclube
2 : 0
Academica
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
23 Aug
Wiliete
2 : 0
Academica
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Guelson

(Away)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)