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Academica vs Lusitania FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Faria B.
16'
Rodrigues A.
26' Event
Kaka
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Academica and Lusitania FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Academica
15%
Draws
58%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Lusitania FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lusitania FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Academica Clean Sheet 13%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Lusitania FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Academica vs Lusitania FC
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 Liga 3
Academica vs Lusitania FC
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Liga 3
Lusitania FC vs Academica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 11 / 100
Lusitania FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitania FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lusitania FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Academica remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academica VS Lusitania FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
11 Oct
Leiria
0 : 2
Academica
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

Lusitania FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Lusitania FC
1 : 1
Chaves
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
4 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
10 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 7 1 2 4 6:14 5
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)