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Academica vs Saurimo

Angola Angola

Girabola 2018/2019
Academica Logo

Academica

2 - 0
FT
Saurimo Logo

Saurimo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2018/2019 game between Academica and Saurimo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Academica
15%
Draws
64%
Saurimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saurimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica come out ahead of Saurimo on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Academica Clean Sheet 20%
Saurimo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Saurimo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.81 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 Girabola
Academica vs Saurimo
2:0
Feb 8, 2019 Girabola
Saurimo vs Academica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica 32 / 100
Saurimo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Saurimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saurimo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saurimo let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Saurimo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Academica scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academica

(Home)
10 Sept
Interclube
2 : 0
Academica
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
23 Aug
Wiliete
2 : 0
Academica
24 May
Academica
0 : 0
Interclube
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Saurimo

(Away)
19 May
Academica
2 : 0
Saurimo
11 May
Saurimo
3 : 2
Santa Rita
05 May
Interclube
1 : 0
Saurimo
01 May
Saurimo
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 20 10 0 51:9 70
2 Petro Atletico 30 19 7 4 40:15 64
3 Desportivo Huila 30 15 8 7 36:25 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 10 7 35:26 49
5 Interclube 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Sagrada 30 10 11 9 31:26 41
7 Progresso Sambizanga 30 9 13 8 33:29 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 31:30 39
9 Caala 30 8 13 9 29:33 37
10 Bravos do Maquis 30 7 16 7 28:27 37
11 Santa Rita 30 8 8 14 32:41 32
12 Academica 30 7 10 13 23:29 31
13 Sporting de Cabinda 30 6 12 12 30:43 30
14 Cuando Cubango FC 30 6 8 16 30:51 26
15 ASA 30 5 11 14 25:47 26
16 Saurimo 30 5 6 19 20:47 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)