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Academica Vitoria vs Ipojuca

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Vitoria play Ipojuca in the Pernambucano 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academica Vitoria averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Ipojuca averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Academica Vitoria won 1, Ipojuca won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 10, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Academica Vitoria and 1.36 for Ipojuca. This points to a Academica Vitoria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Academica Vitoria
23%
Draws
31%
Ipojuca
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Academica Vitoria picked up more points recently compared to Ipojuca.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 18%
Ipojuca Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Ipojuca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Ipojuca
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palominha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ipojuca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 45 / 100
Ipojuca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Ipojuca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica Vitoria or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica Vitoria attacking → ← attacking Ipojuca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ipojuca let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Academica Vitoria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ipojuca lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 44
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.60
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academica Vitoria971118:722
2Decisao962119:720
3Ipojuca953113:518
4Jaguar952219:617
5Ypiranga93339:612
6Cabense932413:1111
7Vera Cruz92348:109
8Centro Limoeirense92349:189
9Ibis Sport Club91359:146
10Atletico PE90092:350