Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Paulo Miranda
13' Event
Pedro Maycon
22'
Leo Gaucho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Academica Vitoria
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Academica Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Jaguar.
  • Model gives Academica Vitoria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Jaguar
Matches Played 38 36
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria
3:0
Jul 9, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria
0:1
Oct 14, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Maycon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jaguar Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Miranda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 95 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Jaguar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jaguar conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Jaguar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academica Vitoria VS Jaguar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nautico760119:418
2Sport Recife742115:814
3Retro73228:511
4Santa Cruz731312:810
5Decisao73048:179
6Maguary723210:109
7Academica Vitoria71157:144
8Jaguar70345:183