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Stadium Background

Academica Vitoria vs Maguary

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Vitoria play Maguary in the Pernambucano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Academica Vitoria averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Maguary averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Academica Vitoria won 0, Maguary won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 21, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Academica Vitoria and 2.31 for Maguary. This points to a Academica Vitoria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Academica Vitoria
27%
Draws
29%
Maguary
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Academica Vitoria picked up more points recently compared to Maguary.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%
Maguary Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Maguary
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Maguary
0:2
Nov 3, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Maguary vs Academica Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academica Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Kanu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira I. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 42 / 100
Maguary 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Maguary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica Vitoria or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica Vitoria attacking → ← attacking Maguary

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Maguary let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Academica Vitoria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Maguary lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 31
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nautico760119:418
2Sport Recife742115:814
3Retro73228:511
4Santa Cruz731312:810
5Decisao73048:179
6Maguary723210:109
7Academica Vitoria71157:144
8Jaguar70345:183