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Academica Vitoria vs Santa Fe PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022 Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Vitoria play Santa Fe PE in the Pernambucano 2 2022. Academica Vitoria are favorites here. Recently, Academica Vitoria averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Santa Fe PE averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Academica Vitoria won 1, Santa Fe PE won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Academica Vitoria and 0.94 for Santa Fe PE. This points to a Academica Vitoria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Academica Vitoria
21%
Draws
11%
Santa Fe PE
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica Vitoria picked up more points recently compared to Santa Fe PE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 24%
Santa Fe PE Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academica Vitoria Santa Fe PE
Matches Played 42 5
Wins 21 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.81 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Santa Fe PE
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academica Vitoria 66 / 100
Santa Fe PE 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academica Vitoria Santa Fe PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Academica Vitoria & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Academica Vitoria attacking → ← attacking Santa Fe PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Vitoria scored in 74% of their last 42 games.

Santa Fe PE let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Academica Vitoria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santa Fe PE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 2
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180