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Academico do Sal vs FC Derby

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
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Match Events

89' Event
Dos Santos I.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Academico do Sal and FC Derby finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico do Sal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Academico do Sal
44%
Draws
20%
FC Derby
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Derby come out ahead of Academico do Sal on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 16%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico do Sal FC Derby
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Academico do Sal
4:1
Jun 22, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs FC Derby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academico do Sal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Derby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico do Sal 36 / 100
FC Derby 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico do Sal FC Derby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico do Sal found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

FC Derby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Academico do Sal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academico do Sal VS FC Derby
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Palmeira1
Boavista da Praia1
Academico do Sal2
FC Derby4
Final
Boavista da Praia2
FC Derby1