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Academico do Sal vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Mindelense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Academico do Sal
20%
Draws
57%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mindelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mindelense a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Mindelense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mindelense, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mindelense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 13%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico do Sal Mindelense
Matches Played 36 39
Wins 14 21
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academico do Sal
3:0
Jun 17, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
0:2
May 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academico do Sal
2:0
Jun 11, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
0:2
May 31, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico do Sal 19 / 100
Mindelense 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico do Sal Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico do Sal found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Mindelense has conceded goals in 56% of their last 39 outings.

Academico do Sal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academico do Sal VS Mindelense
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico do Sal

(Home)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
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Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mindelense 2
Academico do Sal 2
Academica Porto Novo 2
Sporting Praia 5
Final
Mindelense 1
Sporting Praia 0