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Academico do Sal vs Paulense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Academico do Sal
30%
Draws
47%
Paulense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paulense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paulense have won more games recently than Academico do Sal.
  • Model gives Paulense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 17%
Paulense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico do Sal Paulense
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Academico do Sal
1:3
May 20, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Paulense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico do Sal 28 / 100
Paulense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico do Sal Paulense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paulense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico do Sal scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Paulense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Academico do Sal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Academico do Sal VS Paulense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico do Sal

(Home)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
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Paulense

(Away)
14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
Paulense
07 Jun
Paulense
2 : 2
Boavista da Praia
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5
Paulense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams