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Academico Viseu vs Estoril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estádio do Fontelo, Viseu
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Holsgrove J.
29' Event
Kahraman C.
Assist: Correia A.
31'
Kahraman C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal game between Academico Viseu and Estoril finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico Viseu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Academico Viseu
20%
Draws
7%
Estoril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Academico Viseu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Estoril haven't matched Academico Viseu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Academico Viseu a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Academico Viseu Clean Sheet 68%
Estoril Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico Viseu Estoril
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2022 League Cup
Academico Viseu vs Estoril
3:2
Feb 16, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Estoril vs Academico Viseu
3:0
Sep 24, 2020 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Estoril
0:2
Mar 22, 2020 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Estoril
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Liga Portugal 2
Estoril vs Academico Viseu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academico Viseu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kahraman C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messeguem S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Estoril Compare

Top Goalscorer Guitane R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico Viseu 86 / 100
Estoril 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico Viseu Estoril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academico Viseu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico Viseu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Estoril let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Academico Viseu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Academico Viseu VS Estoril
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico Viseu

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
29 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 3
FC Porto
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 6

Estoril

(Away)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20:9 18
3 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6:5 11
7 Braga 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
9 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)