Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Academico Viseu vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estádio do Fontelo, Viseu
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Doucet L.
46'
Sub
Doucet L. In: Nogueira G.
Out: Doucet L.
53' Event
Gohi L.

AI Match Summary

Academico Viseu in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academico Viseu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Academico Viseu
30%
Draws
23%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academico Viseu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Academico Viseu lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Academico Viseu taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Academico Viseu Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Academico Viseu Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Portugal
Academico Viseu vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:1
May 14, 1989 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academico Viseu
5:0
Dec 18, 1988 Liga Portugal
Academico Viseu vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:1
May 9, 1982 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academico Viseu
3:0
Dec 27, 1981 Liga Portugal
Academico Viseu vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Academico Viseu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gohi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouldini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Academico Viseu 42 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Academico Viseu Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Academico Viseu scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Vitoria Guimaraes has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Academico Viseu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Academico Viseu VS Vitoria Guimaraes
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Academico Viseu

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
29 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 3
FC Porto
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
3 Sporting CP 7 4 3 0 17:8 15
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Braga 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
7 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
8 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
9 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)