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Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Moron C.
36' Event
Suarez I.
66'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Acambaro
20%
Draws
47%
Dragones de Oaxaca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dragones de Oaxaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Acambaro lately — more wins on the board than Dragones de Oaxaca.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Acambaro Clean Sheet 16%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acambaro Dragones de Oaxaca
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Acambaro
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Acambaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acambaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Moron C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dragones de Oaxaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acambaro 31 / 100
Dragones de Oaxaca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acambaro Dragones de Oaxaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragones de Oaxaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Acambaro scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Dragones de Oaxaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Acambaro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Acambaro VS Dragones de Oaxaca
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acambaro

(Home)
02 Oct
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Acambaro
27 Sept
Acambaro
2 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
19 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
0 : 1
Acambaro
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
1 : 2
Acambaro
Page 1 of 6

Dragones de Oaxaca

(Away)
04 Oct
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 2
Real Refineros
27 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
4 : 3
Dragones de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)