Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acambaro vs Poza Rica

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Castelan C.

AI Match Summary

Poza Rica in this Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poza Rica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Acambaro
30%
Draws
31%
Poza Rica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Acambaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poza Rica lately — more wins on the board than Acambaro.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Acambaro taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Acambaro Clean Sheet 16%
Poza Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acambaro Poza Rica
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Poza Rica vs Acambaro
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Acambaro vs Poza Rica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acambaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Poza Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Castelan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acambaro 41 / 100
Poza Rica 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acambaro Poza Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acambaro's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Poza Rica has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Acambaro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acambaro VS Poza Rica
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acambaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
0 : 1
Acambaro
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
1 : 2
Acambaro
30 Aug
Acambaro
8 : 0
Canoneros FC
30 Mar
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
4 : 0
Acambaro
Page 1 of 5

Poza Rica

(Away)
04 Apr
Poza Rica
1 : 1
FC Racing
01 Apr
FC Racing
2 : 1
Poza Rica
28 Mar
Poza Rica
2 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
26 Mar
Dragones de Oaxaca
1 : 1
Poza Rica
17 Mar
Poza Rica
3 : 0
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 FC Racing 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)