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Acao vs Atletico MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Acao and Atletico MT finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Acao
35%
Draws
13%
Atletico MT
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Acao come out ahead of Atletico MT on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Acao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Acao Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao Atletico MT
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 9 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.47 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Atletico MT
2:2
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Atletico MT
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao 85 / 100
Atletico MT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao Atletico MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico MT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Acao's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Acao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acao VS Atletico MT
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Acao

(Home)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
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Atletico MT

(Away)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)