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Acao W vs Itabirito W

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Brasileiro A2 Women
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Match Events

52' Event
Vero Marques

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Acao W and Itabirito W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Acao W
35%
Draws
40%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabirito W come out ahead of Acao W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Acao W Clean Sheet 13%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao W Itabirito W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Acao W vs Itabirito W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acao W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.27

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vero Marques
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao W 35 / 100
Itabirito W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acao W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Acao W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Itabirito W conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Acao W VS Itabirito W
0.71 Goals Scored 2.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38
29% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acao W

(Home)
22 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 0
Acao W
15 Aug
Acao W
0 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
01 Aug
Paysandu PA W
2 : 2
Acao W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

Itabirito W

(Away)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)