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Acao W vs Sorriso EC W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Matogrossense Women
Acao W Logo

Acao W

Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Sorriso EC W Logo

Sorriso EC W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Acao W host Sorriso EC W in the Matogrossense Women. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Acao W at 1.1 goals for, 1.07 against; Sorriso EC W at 1 for, 2 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.56, favoring Sorriso EC W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Acao W
25%
Draws
35%
Sorriso EC W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Acao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Acao W lately — more wins on the board than Sorriso EC W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Matogrossense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Acao W Clean Sheet 20%
Sorriso EC W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao W Sorriso EC W
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 12 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao W 32 / 100
Sorriso EC W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao W Sorriso EC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorriso EC W let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Attacking prowess: Acao W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Acao W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sorriso EC W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Acao W VS Sorriso EC W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Acao W

(Home)
26 Sept
Mixto W
2 : 0
Acao W
22 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 0
Acao W
15 Aug
Acao W
0 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
01 Aug
Paysandu PA W
2 : 2
Acao W
Page 1 of 6

Sorriso EC W

(Away)
26 Sept
Sorriso EC W
1 : 2
Paulistano FC W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Paulistano FC W 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Várzea Grande EC W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sorriso EC W 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Acao W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Matogrossense Women (Play Offs)