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Acao W vs Vila Nova FC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ferreira K.
39' Event
India

AI Match Summary

Acao W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acao W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Acao W
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Nova FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Acao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Nova FC W lately — more wins on the board than Acao W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Acao W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Acao W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Acao W Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acao W Vila Nova FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Acao W vs Vila Nova FC W
2:0
May 25, 2024 Brasileiro A3 Women
Acao W vs Vila Nova FC W
2:1
May 18, 2024 Brasileiro A3 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Acao W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader India
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acao W 95 / 100
Vila Nova FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acao W Vila Nova FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vila Nova FC W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Acao W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Acao W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acao W VS Vila Nova FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1245312:1017
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Ceara W1241712:1813
12Doce Mel W123459:1813
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284