Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acassuso vs Central Norte

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mateo J.
Assist: Borda F.
26' Event
Hermoso A.
38' Event
Rodriguez T.
Assist: Ruiz A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Acassuso and Central Norte finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acassuso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Acassuso
35%
Draws
51%
Central Norte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Central Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Central Norte have managed 0.69 goals a game lately — Acassuso are scoring more at 0.7.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 20%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso Central Norte
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.7 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Central Norte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acassuso Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermoso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Central Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 32 / 100
Central Norte 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso Central Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Central Norte conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Acassuso found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Acassuso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS Central Norte
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acassuso

(Home)
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
21 Aug
Acassuso
0 : 1
Godoy Cruz
14 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1
Midland
Page 1 of 6

Central Norte

(Away)
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2
Central Norte
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Deportivo Moron
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
16 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 28 16 6 6 34:25 54
2 Deportivo Moron 28 15 7 6 45:26 52
3 Deportivo Madryn 28 12 10 6 41:26 46
4 Godoy Cruz 28 13 7 8 34:25 46
5 Colon Santa Fe 28 12 9 7 35:23 45
6 Almirante Brown 28 12 9 7 23:16 45
7 Ciudad Bolivar 28 9 11 8 24:26 38
8 CA Estudiantes 28 9 9 10 25:25 36
9 Los Andes 27 8 11 8 20:15 35
10 Racing Cordoba 28 9 8 11 25:32 35
11 Chaco For Ever 28 8 8 12 26:29 32
12 CA Mitre 28 6 13 9 27:35 31
13 All Boys 28 6 13 9 16:24 31
14 Central Norte 28 6 12 10 19:27 30
15 Defensores de Belgrano 27 6 11 10 19:24 29
16 San Miguel 28 6 11 11 22:32 29
17 San Telmo 28 6 10 12 22:33 28
18 Acassuso 28 5 8 15 19:33 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 27 14 9 4 31:15 51
2 Temperley 28 13 10 5 33:23 49
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 28 14 7 7 42:34 49
4 Atletico Atlanta 28 14 3 11 32:28 45
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 28 12 8 8 31:26 44
6 Midland 28 11 8 9 31:25 41
7 San Martin S.J. 27 11 8 8 31:26 41
8 Deportivo Maipu 28 11 6 11 34:28 39
9 Atl. Rafaela 28 10 9 9 20:22 39
10 Colegiales 28 10 7 11 28:28 37
11 San Martin T. 28 8 12 8 27:26 36
12 Almagro 28 9 7 12 23:31 34
13 Agropecuario 28 8 9 11 25:31 33
14 Quilmes 28 8 8 12 27:24 32
15 Nueva Chicago 28 8 8 12 21:27 32
16 Patronato 28 5 14 9 23:30 29
17 Chacarita Juniors 28 7 6 15 19:30 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 28 5 8 15 23:47 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)