Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acassuso vs Ciudad Bolivar Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Acassuso host Ciudad Bolivar in the Primera Nacional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Ciudad Bolivar have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Acassuso have conceded 1.19 and scored 0.61. Past meetings favor Ciudad Bolivar slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.88, favoring Ciudad Bolivar. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Acassuso
20%
Draws
40%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad Bolivar lately — more wins on the board than Acassuso.
  • Win probability leans Acassuso's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.61 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Acassuso
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 50 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acassuso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Acassuso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Acassuso found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).

Ciudad Bolivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS Ciudad Bolivar
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acassuso

(Home)
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
Page 1 of 7

Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
29 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)