Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Cardozo L.
37'
Bittolo M.
44' Event
Berterame G.
Assist: Olivares J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Acassuso and Deportivo Moron finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Acassuso
44%
Draws
20%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Moron come out ahead of Acassuso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Moron have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 18%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron
0:3
Apr 2, 2017 Primera B
Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron
2:4
Sep 16, 2016 Primera B
Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso
2:0
May 30, 2016 Primera B
Acassuso vs Deportivo Moron
0:1
Jul 26, 2015 Primera B
Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acassuso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Berterame G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olivares J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 36 / 100
Deportivo Moron 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso Deportivo Moron

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Acassuso scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Acassuso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS Deportivo Moron
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419