Sport Picks
Racing Louisville W vs Houston Dash W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
8'
8'
Ullmark L.
19'
19'
Fischer K.
23'
23'
Chapman A.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Houston Dash W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houston Dash W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Houston Dash W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 12%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Louisville W | Houston Dash W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Houston Dash W
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W
4:3
Aug 29, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Houston Dash W
1:1
May 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Racing Louisville W
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Houston Dash W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Fischer K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Houston Dash W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rader K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Louisville W 30 / 100
Houston Dash W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Louisville W Houston Dash W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Houston Dash W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Houston Dash W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Racing Louisville W scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Houston Dash W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Racing Louisville W VS Houston Dash W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Louisville W
(Home) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
19 Aug
Racing Louisville W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 3
Houston Dash W
(Away) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
23 Aug
Bay FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
