Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acassuso vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Dubini K. In: Postigo J.
Out: Dubini K.
37'
Dordoni B.
56'
Pollacchi L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Acassuso and San Telmo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Telmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Acassuso
35%
Draws
46%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Acassuso haven't matched San Telmo's recent run of results.
  • Acassuso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.66 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs San Telmo
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Acassuso
2:3
May 16, 2020 Primera B
San Telmo vs Acassuso
0:0
Dec 7, 2019 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:1
Apr 10, 2019 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acassuso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Larthirigoyen I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pardo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 50 / 100
San Telmo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acassuso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Telmo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Acassuso found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Acassuso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS San Telmo
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Acassuso

(Home)
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
21 Aug
Acassuso
0 : 1
Godoy Cruz
14 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1
Midland
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San Telmo

(Away)
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2
Deportivo Moron
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0
San Telmo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 28 16 6 6 34:25 54
2 Deportivo Moron 28 15 7 6 45:26 52
3 Deportivo Madryn 28 12 10 6 41:26 46
4 Godoy Cruz 28 13 7 8 34:25 46
5 Colon Santa Fe 28 12 9 7 35:23 45
6 Almirante Brown 28 12 9 7 23:16 45
7 Ciudad Bolivar 28 9 11 8 24:26 38
8 Los Andes 28 8 12 8 21:16 36
9 CA Estudiantes 28 9 9 10 25:25 36
10 Racing Cordoba 28 9 8 11 25:32 35
11 Chaco For Ever 28 8 8 12 26:29 32
12 CA Mitre 28 6 13 9 27:35 31
13 All Boys 28 6 13 9 16:24 31
14 Defensores de Belgrano 28 6 12 10 20:25 30
15 Central Norte 28 6 12 10 19:27 30
16 San Miguel 28 6 11 11 22:32 29
17 San Telmo 28 6 10 12 22:33 28
18 Acassuso 28 5 8 15 19:33 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 27 14 9 4 31:15 51
2 Temperley 28 13 10 5 33:23 49
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 28 14 7 7 42:34 49
4 Atletico Atlanta 28 14 3 11 32:28 45
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 28 12 8 8 31:26 44
6 Midland 28 11 8 9 31:25 41
7 San Martin S.J. 27 11 8 8 31:26 41
8 Deportivo Maipu 28 11 6 11 34:28 39
9 Atl. Rafaela 28 10 9 9 20:22 39
10 Colegiales 28 10 7 11 28:28 37
11 San Martin T. 28 8 12 8 27:26 36
12 Almagro 28 9 7 12 23:31 34
13 Agropecuario 28 8 9 11 25:31 33
14 Quilmes 28 8 8 12 27:24 32
15 Nueva Chicago 28 8 8 12 21:27 32
16 Patronato 28 5 14 9 23:30 29
17 Chacarita Juniors 28 7 6 15 19:30 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 28 5 8 15 23:47 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)