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Stadium Background

Acassuso vs San Telmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Dubini K. In: Postigo J.
Out: Dubini K.
37'
Dordoni B.
56'
Pollacchi L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Acassuso and San Telmo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Telmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Acassuso
35%
Draws
35%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Acassuso haven't matched San Telmo's recent run of results.
  • Acassuso are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso San Telmo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.55 0.73
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs San Telmo
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Acassuso
2:3
May 16, 2020 Primera B
San Telmo vs Acassuso
0:0
Dec 7, 2019 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:1
Apr 10, 2019 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acassuso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Larthirigoyen I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pardo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 59 / 100
San Telmo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acassuso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Acassuso remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Acassuso found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

San Telmo let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS San Telmo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Acassuso

(Home)
31 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Ferro
25 Oct
Central Norte
0 : 0
Acassuso
17 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
11 Oct
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 3
Acassuso
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 7

San Telmo

(Away)
31 Oct
San Telmo
1 : 0
Central Norte
24 Oct
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 1
San Telmo
19 Oct
San Telmo
0 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Godoy Cruz 36 19 9 8 53:33 66
2 Ferro 36 19 9 8 38:31 66
3 Deportivo Moron 36 18 7 11 53:37 61
4 Deportivo Madryn 36 16 12 8 52:31 60
5 Colon Santa Fe 36 16 12 8 45:27 60
6 Almirante Brown 36 13 12 11 30:26 51
7 Ciudad Bolivar 36 13 12 11 30:33 51
8 CA Estudiantes 36 13 10 13 35:35 49
9 Chaco For Ever 36 12 10 14 39:37 46
10 Los Andes 36 9 16 11 27:26 43
11 All Boys 36 8 17 11 22:30 41
12 San Telmo 36 10 11 15 30:41 41
13 CA Mitre 36 8 16 12 31:42 40
14 Racing Cordoba 36 10 10 16 32:45 40
15 Defensores de Belgrano 36 8 15 13 25:34 39
16 Central Norte 36 7 17 12 23:32 38
17 Acassuso 36 8 11 17 25:35 35
18 San Miguel 36 6 15 15 27:42 33
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 36 16 16 4 34:16 64
2 Atletico Atlanta 36 19 5 12 42:34 62
3 Temperley 36 16 13 7 43:31 61
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 36 16 10 10 53:49 58
5 Midland 36 15 10 11 43:29 55
6 Deportivo Maipu 36 14 10 12 43:34 52
7 Colegiales 36 14 10 12 36:32 52
8 Gimnasia y Tiro 36 14 10 12 37:35 52
9 San Martin S.J. 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
10 San Martin T. 36 11 14 11 39:37 47
11 Atl. Rafaela 36 12 11 13 29:35 47
12 Agropecuario 36 12 10 14 31:39 46
13 Quilmes 36 12 9 15 33:30 45
14 Chacarita Juniors 36 12 6 18 29:35 42
15 Almagro 36 11 9 16 33:44 42
16 Patronato 36 7 17 12 29:35 38
17 Nueva Chicago 36 9 10 17 25:36 37
18 Club Atletico Guemes 36 6 9 21 28:62 27
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)