Sport Picks
Accrington vs Crawley Town
England
League Two The Wham Stadium, Accrington 
Match Events
4'
4'
Caton C.
20'
20'
Orsi-Dadomo D.
25'
25'
Sub
Love D. In: Borland A.
Out: Love D.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Accrington and Crawley Town finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Accrington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Crawley Town haven't matched Accrington's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Accrington Clean Sheet 17%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Accrington | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Crawley Town
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Crawley Town
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Accrington
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 League Two
Accrington vs Crawley Town
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Accrington
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Caton C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Matthews D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Crawley Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Orsi-Dadomo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aderoju O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Accrington 30 / 100
Crawley Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Accrington Crawley Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Accrington scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Crawley Town has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Accrington went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Accrington VS Crawley Town
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Accrington
(Home) 22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
15 Aug
Accrington
2 : 2 Colchester
Page 1 of 4
Crawley Town
(Away) 22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
