Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington

3 - 2

Leeds U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Gray H.

40'

Lopata-White R.

60'

Sub

Brown C. In: Madden P.

Out: Brown C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Accrington in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Accrington

30%

Draws

41%

Leeds U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leeds U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Leeds U21 lately — more wins on the board than Accrington.
Accrington are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Leeds U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Accrington, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Accrington Clean Sheet 10%

Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Accrington	Leeds U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	7
Draws	9	4
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	1.03	1.34
Goals Conceded	1.52	2.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy

Accrington vs Leeds U21

3:2

Sep 8, 2020 EFL Trophy

Accrington vs Leeds U21

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bauress J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Leeds U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gray H.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Accrington 34 / 100

Leeds U21 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Accrington Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Leeds U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Accrington has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Accrington scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Accrington VS Leeds U21

1.38 Goals Scored 2

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Accrington

(Home)

19 Sept

Accrington

0 : 0

Newport

12 Sept

Barnet

2 : 1

Accrington

05 Sept

Accrington

3 : 2

Crawley Town

01 Sept

Accrington

2 : 2

Grimsby

29 Aug

Walsall

3 : 2

Accrington

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Leeds U21

(Away)

19 Sept

Leeds U21

2 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

13 Sept

Middlesbrough U21

4 : 4

Leeds U21

08 Sept

Solihull Moors

2 : 3

Leeds U21

04 Sept

Charlton U21

1 : 0

Leeds U21

30 Aug

Liverpool U21

2 : 1

Leeds U21

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