Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Love D.
53'
53'
Sub
Caton C. In: Stockton C.
Out: Caton C.
66'
66'
Sub
O'Brien C. In: Smith O.
Out: O'Brien C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newport lately — more wins on the board than Accrington.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Accrington Clean Sheet 68%
Newport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Accrington | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Newport
0:0
Jan 27, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Accrington
1:4
Oct 11, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Newport
0:1
Mar 11, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Newport
5:0
Aug 24, 2024 League Two
Newport vs Accrington
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Accrington 41 / 100
Newport 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Accrington Newport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newport let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Accrington's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Accrington stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Accrington VS Newport
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Accrington
(Home) 22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
15 Aug
Accrington
2 : 2 Colchester
Page 1 of 4
Newport
(Away) 22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
