Sport Picks
Accrington vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two The Wham Stadium, Accrington 
Match Events
5'
5'
Warren C.
Assist: Walton T.
46'
46'
Warhurst M.
46'
46'
Sub
Hoskins S. In: Fornah T.
Out: Hoskins S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Northampton haven't matched Accrington's recent run of results.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Accrington taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Accrington Clean Sheet 68%
Northampton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Accrington | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Northampton
1:1
Feb 6, 2021 League One
Accrington vs Northampton
0:0
Nov 14, 2020 League One
Northampton vs Accrington
0:1
Dec 28, 2015 League Two
Northampton vs Accrington
1:0
Aug 29, 2015 League Two
Accrington vs Northampton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Warren C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer List E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Accrington 95 / 100
Northampton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Accrington Northampton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Accrington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Accrington found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Accrington VS Northampton
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Accrington
(Home) 31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1 Northampton
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5 Accrington
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1 Gillingham
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1 Northampton
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1 Gillingham
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1 Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 3
Northampton
(Away) 03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1 Oldham
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1 Northampton
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0 Colchester
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1 Northampton
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2 Northampton
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Northampton
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
