Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington

0 - 2

Port Vale

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Love D.

46'

Sub

Debrah J. In: Hall C.

Out: Debrah J.

48'

Madden P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Port Vale in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Accrington

30%

Draws

31%

Port Vale

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Port Vale lately — more wins on the board than Accrington.
Model gives Accrington a 39% chance of winning this.
Port Vale arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Port Vale, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

Accrington Clean Sheet 20%

Port Vale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Accrington	Port Vale
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	10
Draws	9	5
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.96	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Accrington vs Port Vale

0:2

Feb 1, 2025 League Two

Port Vale vs Accrington

2:1

Sep 21, 2024 League Two

Accrington vs Port Vale

2:2

Apr 7, 2023 League One

Accrington vs Port Vale

3:0

Feb 7, 2023 League One

Port Vale vs Accrington

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Accrington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Faal M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Accrington 58 / 100

Port Vale 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Accrington Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Accrington Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Vale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Accrington went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Port Vale has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Accrington VS Port Vale

1.38 Goals Scored 0.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Accrington

(Home)

19 Sept

Accrington

0 : 0

Newport

12 Sept

Barnet

2 : 1

Accrington

05 Sept

Accrington

3 : 2

Crawley Town

01 Sept

Accrington

2 : 2

Grimsby

29 Aug

Walsall

3 : 2

Accrington

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Port Vale

(Away)

19 Sept

Walsall

2 : 0

Port Vale

12 Sept

Port Vale

1 : 0

Exeter

05 Sept

Salford

1 : 0

Port Vale

01 Sept

Swindon

3 : 1

Port Vale

29 Aug

Port Vale

0 : 0

Crewe

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