Sport Picks

Accrington vs Sunderland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy The Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington

Tue, Sep 22, 2026

4 - 3

06:00 PM

Sunderland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.

Assist: Tuterov T.

15'

Jones J.

26'

Warren C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Accrington

35%

Draws

20%

Sunderland U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Sunderland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Accrington.
Win probability leans Accrington's way, sitting at 90%.
Sunderland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Accrington, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.8%

Accrington Clean Sheet 68%

Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Accrington	Sunderland U21
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	12
Draws	11	6
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.96
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Accrington vs Sunderland U21

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Warren C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stockton C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Proctor T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Accrington 95 / 100

Sunderland U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Accrington Sunderland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Accrington Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 7:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Accrington stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Accrington's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Accrington VS Sunderland U21

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Accrington

(Home)

31 Oct

Accrington

1 : 1

Northampton

24 Oct

Rochdale

0 : 5

Accrington

20 Oct

York City

1 : 1

Accrington

17 Oct

Accrington

3 : 1

Gillingham

10 Oct

Oldham

0 : 0

Accrington

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Sunderland U21

(Away)

26 Oct

Newcastle Utd U21

3 : 2

Sunderland U21

10 Oct

Arsenal U21

2 : 2

Sunderland U21

06 Oct

Sheffield Wed

2 : 0

Sunderland U21

22 Sept

Accrington

4 : 3

Sunderland U21

18 Sept

Sunderland U21

3 : 1

Norwich U21

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