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A.C.D. Nardo vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
D'Anna S.
73'

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between A.C.D. Nardo and Barletta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
A.C.D. Nardo
39%
Draws
31%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Barletta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and A.C.D. Nardo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Barletta Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Barletta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 21
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Barletta
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Barletta
3:0
May 21, 2023 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Barletta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Anna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Barletta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 41 / 100
Barletta 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C.D. Nardo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: A.C.D. Nardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Barletta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 36% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS Barletta
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
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Barletta

(Away)
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)