Sport Picks

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A.C.D. Nardo vs Melfi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between A.C.D. Nardo and Melfi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
A.C.D. Nardo
35%
Draws
24%
Melfi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of Melfi on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Melfi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A.C.D. Nardo Melfi
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 14 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.15 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Melfi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A.C.D. Nardo 41 / 100
Melfi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A.C.D. Nardo Melfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A.C.D. Nardo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Melfi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

A.C.D. Nardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

A.C.D. Nardo VS Melfi
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

A.C.D. Nardo

(Home)
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
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Melfi

(Away)
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
28 May
Akragas
1 : 1
Melfi
21 May
Melfi
0 : 0
Akragas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Gravina 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Nocerina 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
4 Martina Calcio 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
5 Real Forio 2014 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bisceglie 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7 Turris 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
8 Real Normanna 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
9 Ebolitana 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Palmese 1914 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Francavilla 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
12 San Felice Gladiator 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 Brindisi 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Manfredonia 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
15 A.C.D. Nardo 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Ischia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
17 Fidelis Andria 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Melfi 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)